UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2015
Heavyweight
VS
29%
Browne
71%
Arlovski
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:41
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arlovski
Arlovski is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Browne throws more volume but Arlovski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Browne's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Arlovski has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Browne
Arlovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
77"
43+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Browne
Arlovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
49.1
55.1
Performance Avg
50.5
54
Quality of Victory
47
78
Momentum Score
94
Browne
Arlovski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
47%
8.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
42
4
Body
7
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance20
1Clinch28
1Ground3
Browne
Arlovski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.9
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Browne
Arlovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
8
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/25 fights
Chin rating based on
42/58 fights
Browne
Arlovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
94
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Browne
Arlovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
48%
7
KO / TKO Wins
9
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Browne
Arlovski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
BrowneArlovski
Strike Zones
Browne
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
51 absorbedArlovski
Attacking
51 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Browne targets the head (60% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Arlovski targets the head (82% of attacks) — Browne absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Browne
RND
Arlovski
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Browne · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Arlovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Browne · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Aleksei OleinikRating 2.8Submission
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Fabricio WerdumRating 5.5Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
W · KO · R3
Matt MitrioneRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04