UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
Sao Paulo, Brazil
4 Nov 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Petrino
47%
Bukauskas
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:03
Vitor
Vitor Petrino
14 – 2
6'2"77" reachOrthodox28 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 58
Modestas
Modestas Bukauskas
"The Baltic Gladiator"
20 – 7
Well-Rounded32 yrsSwitch76" reach6'3"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Petrino

This is a genuine toss-up — Petrino at 53% vs Bukauskas at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Bukauskas throws more volume but Petrino connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Petrino's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Bukauskas has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Petrino
Bukauskas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
77"+
Reach
76"
28+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Petrino
Bukauskas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
51.5
55.0
Performance Avg
49.0
40
Quality of Victory
41
71
Momentum Score
81
Petrino
Bukauskas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Petrino
Bukauskas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Petrino
Bukauskas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
10
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Petrino
Bukauskas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
81
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Petrino
Bukauskas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Petrino
Bukauskas
Striking4.4 / 5.0Volume5.0 / 5.2Grappling3.3 / 2.2Wrestling2.3 / 1.5Submission2.9 / 1.3Pressure6.3 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
Petrino
Strike Zones
Bukauskas
Petrino
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Bukauskas
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Petrino targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bukauskas absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Bukauskas targets the head (100% of attacks) — Petrino absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Petrino
RND
Bukauskas
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Petrino · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.9W6.1W5.5W2.7L5.4L5.0W5.5W5.9W2023-032024-032025-072026-03
WinLossTrend

Bukauskas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W3.0L6.5L3.7L5.5W4.5W3.9L5.9W5.0W4.8W5.7W5.2L4.5W2020-072023-022025-022026-05
WinLossTrend

Petrino · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Steven AsplundRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Austen LaneRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Sub · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7
Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

Bukauskas · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Christian EdwardsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Nikita KrylovRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Paul CraigRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Ion CutelabaRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Rafael CerqueiraRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

News & Media

Vitor Petrino · Modestas Bukauskas
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