UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
23 Jan 2021
Middleweight
VS
30%
Sanchez
70%
Muradov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:59
AS
Andrew Sanchez
"El Dirte"
13 – 7
6'1"74" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
Makhmud
Makhmud Muradov
26 – 8
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Muradov

Muradov is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Muradov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sanchez's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sanchez
Muradov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+75"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sanchez
Muradov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
55.1
48.2
Performance Avg
49.2
47
Quality of Victory
38
43
Momentum Score
100
Sanchez
Muradov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
19
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance19
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Sanchez
Muradov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sanchez
Muradov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/34 fights
Sanchez
Muradov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
Sanchez
Muradov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sanchez
Muradov
Striking3.0 / 6.3Volume7.4 / 5.3Grappling1.9 / 1.2Wrestling1.3 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.9 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Sanchez
Strike Zones
Muradov
Sanchez
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD1BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Muradov
Attacking
19HEAD1BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (83% of attacks) — Muradov absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Muradov targets the head (95% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 95% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sanchez
RND
Muradov
0/0R00/0

Sanchez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.4W4.5W5.2L4.0L4.5W4.5W6.3L5.0W5.0L5.3L2016-072017-122019-102021-10
WinLossTrend

Muradov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5W5.5W3.8L6.9L4.9W2019-092019-122021-012021-082022-102023-07
WinLossTrend

Sanchez · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
Wellington TurmanRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05

Muradov · Last 5

Upcoming
Aliaskhab Khizriev
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
W · KO · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01

News & Media

Andrew Sanchez · Makhmud Muradov
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