UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort
Dallas, USA
19 Sept 2009
Lightweight
VS
49%
Escudero
51%
Miller
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:36
EE
Efrain Escudero
"Hecho En Mexico"
28 – 12
5'9"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
CM
Cole Miller
"Magrinho"
21 – 11
Submission Hunter3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'1"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Miller

This is a genuine toss-up — Escudero at 49% vs Miller at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Miller throws more volume but Escudero connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Escudero's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Miller has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Escudero
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+73"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Escudero
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
17.6
48.3
Performance Avg
49.0
53
Quality of Victory
47
40
Momentum Score
49
Escudero
Miller
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
31%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
3
0
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance6
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Escudero
Miller
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Escudero
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
42
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/40 fights
Chin rating based on
20/32 fights
Escudero
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
49
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Escudero
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
7
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Escudero
Miller
Striking2.8 / 2.0Volume5.6 / 2.6Grappling3.0 / 6.1Wrestling2.1 / 4.3Submission2.0 / 7.0Pressure4.0 / 7.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
Escudero
Strike Zones
Miller
Escudero
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Miller
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Escudero targets the head (80% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the head (50% of attacks) — Escudero absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Escudero
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Escudero · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.0W4.0L4.5W5.4L5.5L5.5L5.6L4.5W6.2W5.5L5.5L2008-122010-052012-042015-062016-04
WinLossTrend

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W4.5W3.2L5.5W5.0W1.5L5.0W5.2W5.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.2W6.6L5.7L5.5L2007-062009-092012-032014-012016-12
WinLossTrend

Escudero · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kevin LeeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Sub · R1
Drew DoberRating 6.2
Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo de LimaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo SantosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09

Miller · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
Upcoming
Jim Alers
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Sub · R2
Sam SiciliaRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01

News & Media

Efrain Escudero · Cole Miller
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