UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
Uniondale, USA
22 Jul 2017
Welterweight
VS
32%
Good
68%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Santos
Santos holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Good has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Good has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Good has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Santos has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Good
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
73"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Good
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
45.3
53.0
Performance Avg
49.3
55
Quality of Victory
39
59
Momentum Score
45
Good
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.7
53%
Strike Accuracy
44%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
25
6
Body
4
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
15Distance27
8Clinch7
0Ground0
Good
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Good
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
28
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/27 fights
Chin rating based on
18/35 fights
Good
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
45
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Good
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
46%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Good
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
GoodSantos
Strike Zones
Good
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedSantos
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Good targets the head (74% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (74% of attacks) — Good absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Good
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Good · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Good · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
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L · Sub · R1
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W · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 5KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyRating 3.4KO/TKO
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