UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
Vancouver, Canada
11 Jun 2011
Middleweight
VS
5%
Bongfeldt
95%
Weidman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:54
JB
Jesse Bongfeldt
"Water"
16 – 5
6'0"Orthodox45 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 3
Chris
Chris Weidman
"The All-American"
16 – 8
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Weidman

Weidman is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Weidman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.

Bongfeldt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Weidman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bongfeldt
Weidman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
Reach
78"
45
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bongfeldt
Weidman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.5
51.1
0.0
Performance Avg
57.0
0
Quality of Victory
55
0
Momentum Score
51
Bongfeldt
Weidman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
1.1
70%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
3
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
3Clinch2
0Ground4
Bongfeldt
Weidman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bongfeldt
Weidman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
0
Never stopped
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
7
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/21 fights
Chin rating based on
20/24 fights
Bongfeldt
Weidman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
51
L · Sub · R1
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Bongfeldt
Weidman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
58%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bongfeldt
Weidman
Striking0.0 / 4.5Volume0.0 / 4.5Grappling0.0 / 3.0Wrestling0.0 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure0.0 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Bongfeldt
Strike Zones
Weidman
Bongfeldt
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Weidman
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bongfeldt targets the body (60% of attacks) — Weidman absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Weidman targets the head (71% of attacks) — Bongfeldt absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bongfeldt
RND
Weidman
0/0R00/0

Weidman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.1W5.1W5.1W4.5W5.0W3.4L4.0L2.8L5.6W4.0L2.5L4.5W1.5L5.5L5.8W3.5L2011-032013-072016-112020-082024-12
WinLossTrend

Bongfeldt · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Chris WeidmanRating 2.3
Submission
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
Upcoming
Rafael Natal
Decision
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12

Weidman · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

News & Media

Jesse Bongfeldt · Chris Weidman
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