UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Sydney, Australia
9 Sept 2023
Welterweight
VS
92%
Jousset
8%
Crosbie
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:49
KJ
Kevin Jousset
"Air"
10 – 4
6'2"75" reachOrthodox33 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Kiefer
Kiefer Crosbie
"BDK"
10 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide36 yrsSwitch70" reach5'11"
CFR 4

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jousset

Jousset is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jousset has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Crosbie has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Crosbie has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jousset
Crosbie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
70"
33+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Jousset
Crosbie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.1
4.3
43.7
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
53
Momentum Score
0
Jousset
Crosbie
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.3
6.7
49%
Strike Accuracy
64%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
20
4
Body
9
7
Leg
10
RangeRange
25Distance36
4Clinch3
0Ground0
Jousset
Crosbie
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jousset
Crosbie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Jousset
Crosbie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Jousset
Crosbie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jousset
Crosbie
Striking1.0 / 0.0Volume5.0 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Jousset
Strike Zones
Crosbie
Jousset
Attacking
18HEAD4BODY7LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD9BODY10LEGS39 absorbed
Crosbie
Attacking
20HEAD9BODY10LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD4BODY7LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jousset targets the head (62% of attacks) — Crosbie absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Crosbie targets the head (51% of attacks) — Jousset absorbs 51% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jousset
RND
Crosbie
0/0R00/0

Jousset · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W4.9W4.5L7.1L2023-092023-122024-092025-02
WinLossTrend

Crosbie · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.1
0102.2L3.2L3.9L2023-092024-072025-08
WinLossTrend

Jousset · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MicallefRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · KO · R2
Bryan BattleRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Song KenanRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Sub · R1
Kiefer CrosbieRating 5
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

Crosbie · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Taiyilake NuerajiRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Sam PattersonRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Sub · R1
Kevin JoussetRating 2.2
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

News & Media

Kevin Jousset · Kiefer Crosbie
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