UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
12 Nov 2022
Middleweight
VS
62%
Petroski
38%
Turman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Petroski
Petroski holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Turman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Turman throws more volume but Petroski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Petroski's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turman has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Petroski
Turman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"+
Reach
72"
34
Age
+29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Petroski
Turman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.3
27.0
45.2
Performance Avg
33.2
34
Quality of Victory
33
63
Momentum Score
15
Petroski
Turman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.2
55%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Petroski
Turman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petroski
Turman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Petroski
Turman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Petroski
Turman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petroski
Turman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
PetroskiTurman
Strike Zones
Petroski
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTurman
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petroski targets the head (100% of attacks) — Turman absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Turman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Petroski absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petroski
RND
Turman
0/0R00/0
Petroski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Turman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Petroski · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Cody BrundageRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Cam RowstonRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodolfo VieiraRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Dylan BudkaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
Turman · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jared GoodenRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Misha CirkunovRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08