METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
Curitiba, Brazil
14 May 2016
Lightweight
VS
57%
Trinaldo
43%
Medeiros
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Francisco TrinaldowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Yancy Medeiros · UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Trinaldo
→
Actual result
Trinaldo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Trinaldo at 57% vs Medeiros at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Medeiros has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Medeiros throws more volume but Trinaldo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Medeiros has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TrinaldoMedeiros
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Trinaldo
Medeiros
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+75"
47
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Trinaldo
Medeiros
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
24.4
48.6
Performance Avg
45.4
35
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
39
Trinaldo
Medeiros
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
2.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
12
6
Body
3
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
24Distance10
12Clinch0
10Ground5
Trinaldo
Medeiros
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.4
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Trinaldo
Medeiros
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
14
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Trinaldo
Medeiros
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Trinaldo
Medeiros
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
83%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
3
12
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trinaldo
Medeiros
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
TrinaldoMedeiros
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedMedeiros
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (80% of attacks) — Medeiros absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Medeiros targets the head (80% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trinaldo
RND
Medeiros
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Trinaldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Medeiros · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Medeiros · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Lando VannataRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Gregor GillespieRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
W · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12