METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
Las Vegas, USA
27 Sept 2014
Lightweight
VS
62%
Masvidal
38%
Krause
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jorge MasvidalwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. James Krause · UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Masvidal
→
Actual result
Masvidal wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Masvidal holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Krause has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Masvidal's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MasvidalKrause
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Masvidal
Krause
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
74"+
Reach
73"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Masvidal
Krause
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.2
21.6
47.0
Performance Avg
52.0
42
Quality of Victory
40
43
Momentum Score
97
Masvidal
Krause
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
6.0
4.4
Style: Volume
4.9
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
10
4
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance12
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Masvidal
Krause
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Masvidal
Krause
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/52 fights
Chin rating based on
13/37 fights
Masvidal
Krause
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
97
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Masvidal
Krause
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
56%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Masvidal
Krause
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
MasvidalKrause
Strike Zones
Masvidal
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedKrause
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Masvidal targets the head (67% of attacks) — Krause absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Krause targets the head (83% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Masvidal
RND
Krause
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Masvidal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonDecision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanKO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazUFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
Krause · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Claudio SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesDecision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · KO · R3
Sergio MoraesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · KO · R2
Warlley AlvesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteDecision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01