UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
Las Vegas, USA
27 Sept 2014
Lightweight
VS
62%
Masvidal
38%
Krause
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JM
Jorge Masvidal
"Gamebred"
35 – 17
5'11"74" reachOrthodox41 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
JK
James Krause
"The"
28 – 9
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'2"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Masvidal

Masvidal holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Krause has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Krause has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Masvidal's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Masvidal
Krause
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
74"+
Reach
73"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Masvidal
Krause
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.2
21.6
47.0
Performance Avg
52.0
42
Quality of Victory
40
43
Momentum Score
97
Masvidal
Krause
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
10
4
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance12
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Masvidal
Krause
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Masvidal
Krause
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/52 fights
Chin rating based on
13/37 fights
Masvidal
Krause
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
97
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Masvidal
Krause
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
56%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Masvidal
Krause
Striking5.3 / 4.7Volume4.4 / 4.9Grappling1.7 / 2.8Wrestling1.2 / 2.0Submission0.8 / 2.2Pressure5.1 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Masvidal
Strike Zones
Krause
Masvidal
Attacking
10HEAD4BODY1LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Krause
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD4BODY1LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Masvidal targets the head (67% of attacks) — Krause absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Krause targets the head (83% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Masvidal
RND
Krause
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Masvidal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.6W6.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L6.1L5.1W5.0W4.3W6.6L3.2L6.8L5.7L2013-042015-042017-012020-072023-04
WinLossTrend

Krause · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W2.2L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.7L4.5W2013-062015-022018-012020-10
WinLossTrend

Masvidal · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazRating 4.3
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

Krause · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Claudio SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · KO · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · KO · R2
Warlley AlvesRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01

News & Media

Jorge Masvidal · James Krause
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