UFC 15: Collision Course
Bay St. Louis, USA
17 Oct 1997
Heavyweight
VS
94%
Kerr
6%
Stott
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kerr
Kerr is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kerr has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 80 points.
Kerr
Stott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'7"
57
Age
—
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Kerr
Stott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.0
2.2
88.0
Performance Avg
0.0
80
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Kerr
Stott
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
—
66%
Strike Accuracy
0%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Kerr
Stott
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kerr
Stott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/26 fights
Chin rating based on
1 fights
Kerr
Stott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kerr
Stott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kerr
Stott
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
KerrStott
Strike Zones
Kerr
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedStott
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kerr targets the head (100% of attacks) — Stott absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kerr
RND
Stott
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kerr · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Kerr · Last 4
W · Sub · R1
Dwayne CasonRating 5Submission
UFC 15: Collision Course · 1997-10
W · KO · R1
Greg StottRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 15: Collision Course · 1997-10
W · Sub · R1
Dan BobishRating 5Submission
UFC 14: Showdown · 1997-07
W · KO · R1
Moti HorensteinRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 14: Showdown · 1997-07
Stott · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Mark KerrRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 15: Collision Course · 1997-10