UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
Las Vegas, USA
28 May 2011
Middleweight
VS
50%
Stann
50%
Santiago
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:29
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Stann
This is a genuine toss-up — Stann at 50% vs Santiago at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Santiago has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Stann has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Stann's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santiago has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Stann
Santiago
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
+75"
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stann
Santiago
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
16.3
48.8
Performance Avg
42.7
45
Quality of Victory
60
35
Momentum Score
39
Stann
Santiago
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.9
43%
Strike Accuracy
37%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
8
2
Body
1
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance9
0Clinch1
3Ground0
Stann
Santiago
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stann
Santiago
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
30
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/37 fights
Stann
Santiago
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Stann
Santiago
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stann
Santiago
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
StannSantiago
Strike Zones
Stann
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedSantiago
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stann targets the head (52% of attacks) — Santiago absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Santiago targets the head (80% of attacks) — Stann absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stann
RND
Santiago
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Stann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Santiago · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Stann · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Wanderlei SilvaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · KO · R1
Alessio SakaraRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 2.8Submission
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · KO · R2
Jorge SantiagoRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
Santiago · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · KO · R2
Brian StannRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
L · KO · R3
Alan BelcherRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
L · KO · R2
Chris LebenRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night 6 · 2006-08