METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
Houston, USA
15 May 2021
Featherweight
VS
42%
Burgos
58%
Barboza
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:16
★ Official Result
Edson BarbozawinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:16
def. Shane Burgos · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barboza
→
Actual result
Barboza wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Burgos at 42% vs Barboza at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Burgos's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barboza has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BurgosBarboza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Burgos
Barboza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
75"
35+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burgos
Barboza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.9
44.6
50.0
Performance Avg
45.7
35
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
60
Burgos
Barboza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
5.1
6.5
Style: Volume
5.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
9 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
0
Body
1
5
Leg
8
RangeRange
7Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Burgos
Barboza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burgos
Barboza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
33/38 fights
Burgos
Barboza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
60
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Burgos
Barboza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
9
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burgos
Barboza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
BurgosBarboza
Strike Zones
Burgos
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedBarboza
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burgos targets the legs (71% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Barboza targets the head (50% of attacks) — Burgos absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burgos
RND
Barboza
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Burgos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloDecision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · KO · R3
Makwan AmirkhaniKO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
Barboza · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Esteban RibovicsKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10