METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka
Dublin, Ireland
24 Oct 2015
Lightweight
VS
57%
Ray
43%
Lebout
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Stevie RaywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mickael Lebout · UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ray
→
Actual result
Ray wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ray at 57% vs Lebout at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ray has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ray's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RayLebout
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ray
Lebout
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+73"
36+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ray
Lebout
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
11.8
46.0
Performance Avg
28.3
34
Quality of Victory
25
46
Momentum Score
40
Ray
Lebout
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
0.9
48%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
9
2
Body
0
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ray
Lebout
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ray
Lebout
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/32 fights
Chin rating based on
3/23 fights
Ray
Lebout
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
40
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ray
Lebout
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ray
Lebout
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
RayLebout
Strike Zones
Ray
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedLebout
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ray targets the head (42% of attacks) — Lebout absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Lebout targets the head (90% of attacks) — Ray absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ray
RND
Lebout
0/0R00/0
Ray · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Lebout · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Ray · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Leonardo SantosRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Jessin AyariRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Paul FelderRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
Lebout · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Teemu PackalenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04