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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka
Dublin, Ireland
24 Oct 2015
Lightweight
VS
57%
Ray
43%
Lebout
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SR
Stevie Ray
"Braveheart"
239
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 15
ML
Mickael Lebout
"Ragnar"
167
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 12
★ Official Result
Stevie RaywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mickael Lebout · UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ray
Actual result
Ray wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Ray at 57% vs Lebout at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Ray's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RayLebout
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Ray
Lebout
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+73"
36+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ray
Lebout
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
11.8
46.0
Performance Avg
28.3
34
Quality of Victory
25
46
Momentum Score
40
Ray
Lebout
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
1.0
7.0
Style: Volume
8.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
9
2
Body
0
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ray
Lebout
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ray
Lebout
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
11/32 fights
Chin rating based on
3/23 fights
Ray
Lebout
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
40
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ray
Lebout
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ray
Lebout
Striking4.1 / 0.7Volume7.0 / 8.7Grappling1.7 / 2.4Wrestling1.2 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Ray
Strike Zones
Lebout
Ray
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY5LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Lebout
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY5LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ray targets the head (42% of attacks) — Lebout absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Lebout targets the head (90% of attacks) — Ray absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ray
RND
Lebout
0/0R00/0

Ray · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Michael Johnson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Leonardo Santos
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Jessin Ayari
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Kajan Johnson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Paul Felder
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07

Lebout · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Stevie Ray
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Teemu Packalen
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Sergio Moraes
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04

News & Media

Stevie Ray · Mickael Lebout
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