UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero
Hollywood, USA
27 Jun 2015
Welterweight
VS
10%
Montgomery
90%
Sims
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:43
SM
Steve Montgomery
"The Creepy Weasel"
9 – 5
6'4"Southpaw35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 2
TS
Tony Sims
12 – 4
Knockout Artist2-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'11"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sims

Sims is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sims has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.

Striking split: Montgomery throws more volume but Sims connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Montgomery
Sims
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'11"
Reach
70"
35+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Montgomery
Sims
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
19.5
0.0
Performance Avg
49.3
0
Quality of Victory
60
0
Momentum Score
43
Montgomery
Sims
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.9
39%
Strike Accuracy
68%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
8
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance6
1Clinch1
0Ground3
Montgomery
Sims
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Montgomery
Sims
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/14 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Montgomery
Sims
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Montgomery
Sims
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Montgomery
Sims
Striking0.0 / 10.0Volume0.0 / 0.7Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Montgomery
Strike Zones
Sims
Montgomery
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Sims
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Montgomery targets the head (78% of attacks) — Sims absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Sims targets the head (80% of attacks) — Montgomery absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Montgomery
RND
Sims
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Montgomery · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0101.5L5.5L2015-062015-11
WinLossTrend

Sims · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W5.5L1.5L2015-062015-082016-01
WinLossTrend

Montgomery · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · KO · R1
Tony SimsRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06

Sims · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Dec · R3
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · KO · R1
Steve MontgomeryRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06

News & Media

Steve Montgomery · Tony Sims
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