UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
Calgary, Canada
21 Jul 2012
Heavyweight
VS
49%
Kongo
51%
Jordan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jordan
This is a genuine toss-up — Kongo at 49% vs Jordan at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jordan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Jordan throws more volume but Kongo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Kongo's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jordan has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Kongo
Jordan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
82"+
Reach
75"
51
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Kongo
Jordan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.9
21.9
51.8
Performance Avg
57.5
43
Quality of Victory
56
100
Momentum Score
72
Kongo
Jordan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.9
63%
Strike Accuracy
53%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
8
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance2
9Clinch4
0Ground0
Kongo
Jordan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kongo
Jordan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
52
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/37 fights
Chin rating based on
10/27 fights
Kongo
Jordan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
72
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Kongo
Jordan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kongo
Jordan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
KongoJordan
Strike Zones
Kongo
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedJordan
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kongo targets the body (57% of attacks) — Jordan absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Jordan targets the head (83% of attacks) — Kongo absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kongo
RND
Jordan
0/0R00/0
Kongo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Jordan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Kongo · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Roy NelsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
W · Dec · R3
Shawn JordanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt MitrioneRating 4.5Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
W · KO · R1
Pat BarryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
Jordan · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ruslan MagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
Jared CannonierRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
W · KO · R3
Jack MayRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03