UFC 76: Knockout
Anaheim, USA
22 Sept 2007
Lightweight
VS
48%
Griffin
52%
Tavares
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TG
Tyson Griffin
16 – 8
5'6"68" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
TT
Thiago Tavares
21 – 7
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tavares

This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 48% vs Tavares at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Griffin throws more volume but Tavares connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tavares has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Griffin
Tavares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
68"
Reach
+70"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Tavares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
18.0
42.3
Performance Avg
48.8
32
Quality of Victory
42
75
Momentum Score
81
Griffin
Tavares
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
3
Body
3
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
11Clinch3
2Ground0
Griffin
Tavares
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Tavares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Griffin
Tavares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
81
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Griffin
Tavares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
5
6
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Griffin
Tavares
Striking2.4 / 2.2Volume7.1 / 4.4Grappling2.8 / 5.0Wrestling2.0 / 3.5Submission1.3 / 5.0Pressure3.5 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Griffin
Strike Zones
Tavares
Griffin
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY7LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD3BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Tavares
Attacking
0HEAD3BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY7LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Tavares targets the body (100% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Griffin
RND
Tavares
0/0R00/0

Griffin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.7W5.2W5.5L1.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L2006-092008-022009-092011-062011-10
WinLossTrend

Tavares · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.4L5.5W3.3L2007-042008-092012-012015-112016-07
WinLossTrend

Griffin · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Bart PalaszewskiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Takanori GomiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06

Tavares · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Dooho ChoiRating 3.3
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · KO · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · Sub · R1
Robert PeraltaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
W · Sub · R1
Justin SalasRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11

News & Media

Tyson Griffin · Thiago Tavares
← Back to fights