UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
Dallas, USA
14 Mar 2015
Welterweight
VS
30%
Hendricks
70%
Brown
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brown
Brown is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hendricks's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hendricks
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
69"
Reach
+75"
42+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hendricks
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
42.5
48.2
Performance Avg
54.0
39
Quality of Victory
52
80
Momentum Score
78
Hendricks
Brown
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
60%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
13 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch1
3Ground2
Hendricks
Brown
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.2
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hendricks
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/26 fights
Chin rating based on
30/45 fights
Hendricks
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Hendricks
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
88%
5
KO / TKO Wins
13
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hendricks
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.2
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
HendricksBrown
Strike Zones
Hendricks
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedBrown
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hendricks targets the head (60% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (80% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hendricks
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
Hendricks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Hendricks · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Paulo CostaRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
Brown · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Court McGeeRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R2
Dhiego LimaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · KO · R2
Miguel BaezaRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05