UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum
Fortaleza, Brazil
8 Jun 2013
Middleweight
VS
23%
Neto
77%
Smith
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:52
AB
Antonio Braga Neto
9 – 3
6'3"77" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 18
Anthony
Anthony Smith
"Lionheart"
38 – 22
Well-Rounded3-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'4"
CFR 58

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Smith

Smith is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Smith has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Smith has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Neto
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
77"+
Reach
76"
38
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Neto
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
58.3
45.7
Performance Avg
50.7
54
Quality of Victory
50
35
Momentum Score
100
Neto
Smith
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.3
29%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
0
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance3
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Neto
Smith
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Neto
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
25/60 fights
Neto
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Neto
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
77%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
5
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Neto
Smith
Striking0.7 / 4.9Volume0.7 / 2.3Grappling8.0 / 3.5Wrestling5.6 / 2.4Submission10.0 / 3.9Pressure8.0 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Neto
Strike Zones
Smith
Neto
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Smith
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Neto targets the head (83% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (40% of attacks) — Neto absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Neto
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0

Neto · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0106.2W5.5L4.2L2013-062014-062017-12
WinLossTrend

Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0101.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W5.5W5.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W6.0W7.3L5.4W4.4L5.6L5.0W5.5W5.4W4.3L6.3L4.9W4.9L6.1W6.9L3.8L3.5L2013-062018-062020-112024-052025-04
WinLossTrend

Neto · Last 3

L · KO · R3
Trevin GilesRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Clint HesterRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
W · Sub · R1
Anthony SmithRating 6.2
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06

Smith · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Zhang MingyangRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Dominick ReyesRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12

News & Media

Antonio Braga Neto · Anthony Smith
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