METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Brasilia, Brazil
24 Sept 2016
Middleweight
VS
65%
Santos
35%
Spicely
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:58
★ Official Result
Eric SpicelywinsSubmissionR1 · 2:58
def. Thiago Santos · UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Spicely wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Santos holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Spicely has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Spicely throws more volume but Santos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Spicely has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SantosSpicely
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Santos
Spicely
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
76"+
Reach
73"
42
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Spicely
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.2
17.3
54.0
Performance Avg
43.8
51
Quality of Victory
54
91
Momentum Score
52
Santos
Spicely
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.7
51%
Strike Accuracy
48%
9.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
11 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch2
1Ground2
Santos
Spicely
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Spicely
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/33 fights
Chin rating based on
7/18 fights
Santos
Spicely
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Santos
Spicely
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
79%
100%
11
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Spicely
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
SantosSpicely
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedSpicely
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (50% of attacks) — Spicely absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Spicely targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Spicely
0/0R00/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Spicely · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
Spicely · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Deron WinnRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Darren StewartRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
L · KO · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12
L · Sub · R2
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 2.8Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R1
Alessio Di ChiricoRating 5Submission
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01