Kurt Holobaugh vs Raoni Barcelos — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov

Boise, USA

14 Jul 2018

Featherweight

38%

Holobaugh

62%

Barcelos

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 3 · 1:29

Kurt Holobaugh

"The Hurt"

22 – 10

5'11"70" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 32

Raoni Barcelos

22 – 5

Well-Rounded5-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"

CFR 52

★ Official Result

Raoni BarceloswinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:29

def. Kurt Holobaugh · UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Barcelos

→

Actual result

Barcelos wins

KO/TKO · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Barcelos holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Holobaugh has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Holobaugh's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

HolobaughBarcelos

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Holobaugh

Barcelos

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'11"+

Height

5'7"

70"+

Reach

67"

Age

+39

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Holobaugh

Barcelos

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

32.1

51.6

31.2

Performance Avg

49.8

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Holobaugh

Barcelos

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.4

/ 10

3.3

/ 10

4.2

Style: Pressure

4.8

4.4

Style: Volume

6.6

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

16Distance18

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Holobaugh

Barcelos

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.2

/ 10

3.0

/ 10

3.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.1

5.0

Submission Style (/10)

1.8

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Holobaugh

Barcelos

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R3.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

7 fights ago

Last KO loss

7 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

9/32 fights

Chin rating based on

16/27 fights

Holobaugh

Barcelos

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

5-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R2

Last 5

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

Holobaugh

Barcelos

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

36%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holobaugh

Barcelos

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

0.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.3

5.2

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.0

3.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.1

5.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.8

4.2

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.8

4.4

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.6

Holobaugh

Strike Zones

Barcelos

Holobaugh

Attacking

16 landed

Absorbing

18 absorbed

Barcelos

Attacking

18 landed

Absorbing

16 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Holobaugh targets the head (100% of attacks) — Barcelos absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Barcelos targets the head (100% of attacks) — Holobaugh absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holobaugh

RND

Barcelos

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Holobaugh · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Jordan Leavitt

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05

L · Dec · R3

Alexander Hernandez

Decision

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W · Dec · R3

Kaynan Kruschewsky

Decision

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L · Dec · R3

Trey Ogden

Decision

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W · Sub · R2

Austin Hubbard

Submission

UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Barcelos · Last 5

Upcoming

Raul Rosas Jr.

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09

W · Dec · R3

Montel Jackson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04

W · Dec · R3

Ricky Simon

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11

W · Dec · R3

Cody Garbrandt

Decision

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W · Dec · R3

Payton Talbott

Decision

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News & Media

Kurt Holobaugh · Raoni Barcelos

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