UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Boise, USA
14 Jul 2018
Featherweight
VS
38%
Holobaugh
62%
Barcelos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:29
Kurt
Kurt Holobaugh
"The Hurt"
22 – 10
5'11"70" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
Raoni
Raoni Barcelos
22 – 5
Well-Rounded5-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barcelos

Barcelos holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Holobaugh has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Barcelos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Holobaugh's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Holobaugh
Barcelos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
67"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holobaugh
Barcelos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.1
51.6
31.2
Performance Avg
49.8
37
Quality of Victory
34
20
Momentum Score
63
Holobaugh
Barcelos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
18
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance18
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Holobaugh
Barcelos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holobaugh
Barcelos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/32 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Holobaugh
Barcelos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Holobaugh
Barcelos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
36%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holobaugh
Barcelos
Striking0.4 / 3.3Volume4.4 / 6.6Grappling5.2 / 3.0Wrestling3.6 / 2.1Submission5.0 / 1.8Pressure4.2 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Holobaugh
Strike Zones
Barcelos
Holobaugh
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD0BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Barcelos
Attacking
18HEAD0BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holobaugh targets the head (100% of attacks) — Barcelos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Barcelos targets the head (100% of attacks) — Holobaugh absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holobaugh
RND
Barcelos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Holobaugh · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.8L1.5L5.7L5.2W5.6L4.5W6.4L3.0L2013-042019-052024-072025-05
WinLossTrend

Barcelos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5W5.7W5.2W5.9W4.5W5.5L6.4L4.5W2.8L6.2L6.3W6.0W5.6W5.2W5.4W2018-072020-112023-012025-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Holobaugh · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jordan LeavittRating 3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Kaynan KruschewskyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Trey OgdenRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Sub · R2
Austin HubbardRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Barcelos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 6
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R3
Cristian QuinonezRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

News & Media

Kurt Holobaugh · Raoni Barcelos
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