METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
57%
Weili
43%
Xiaonan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Zhang WeiliwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Yan Xiaonan · UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Weili
→
Actual result
Weili wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Weili at 57% vs Xiaonan at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Weili has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Xiaonan has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WeiliXiaonan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Weili
Xiaonan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
63"
Reach
63"
37
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Weili
Xiaonan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.9
51.3
63.3
Performance Avg
43.0
54
Quality of Victory
29
100
Momentum Score
100
Weili
Xiaonan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
2.7
6.3
Style: Volume
8.4
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Weili
Xiaonan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Weili
Xiaonan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
50
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/30 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Weili
Xiaonan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Weili
Xiaonan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
11%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Weili
Xiaonan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
WeiliXiaonan
Strike Zones
Weili
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedXiaonan
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Weili targets the head (100% of attacks) — Xiaonan absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Xiaonan targets the body (50% of attacks) — Weili absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Weili
RND
Xiaonan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Weili · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoDecision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Tatiana SuarezDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Yan XiaonanDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Amanda LemosDecision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Carla EsparzaSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Xiaonan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Denise GomesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeKO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05