★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
57%
Weili
43%
Xiaonan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Weili
This is a genuine toss-up — Weili at 57% vs Xiaonan at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Weili has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Striking split: Xiaonan throws more volume but Weili connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Weili
Xiaonan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
63"
Reach
63"
36
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Weili
Xiaonan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.6
54.2
66.9
Performance Avg
45.0
60
Quality of Victory
29
100
Momentum Score
100
Weili
Xiaonan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.6
56%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Weili
Xiaonan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Weili
Xiaonan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/30 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Weili
Xiaonan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Weili
Xiaonan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
11%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Weili
Xiaonan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
WeiliXiaonan
Strike Zones
Weili
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedXiaonan
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Weili targets the head (100% of attacks) — Xiaonan absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Xiaonan targets the body (50% of attacks) — Weili absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Weili
RND
Xiaonan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Weili · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Xiaonan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Weili · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Tatiana SuarezRating 6.4Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Yan XiaonanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Carla EsparzaRating 5.4Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Xiaonan · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · Dec · R5
Mackenzie DernRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10