METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
13 Nov 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
50%
Casey
50%
Jojua
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Cortney CaseywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Liana Jojua · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Casey
→
Actual result
Casey wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Casey at 50% vs Jojua at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jojua has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CaseyJojua
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Casey
Jojua
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
67"+
Reach
62"
39
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Casey
Jojua
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.5
27.7
40.3
Performance Avg
42.4
41
Quality of Victory
54
73
Momentum Score
43
Casey
Jojua
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
7.8
4.8
Style: Volume
0.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
14
5
Body
3
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
35Distance16
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Casey
Jojua
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Casey
Jojua
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Casey
Jojua
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Casey
Jojua
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Casey
Jojua
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
CaseyJojua
Strike Zones
Casey
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedJojua
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Casey targets the head (76% of attacks) — Jojua absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Jojua targets the head (82% of attacks) — Casey absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Casey
RND
Jojua
0/0R00/0
Casey · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Antonina ShevchenkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Liana JojuaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Gillian RobertsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · Sub · R1
Mara Romero BorellaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
Jojua · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · R1
Miranda MaverickUFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Sub · R1
Diana BelbitaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · 2020-07
L · KO · R3
Sarah MorasKO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09