UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
13 Nov 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
50%
Casey
50%
Jojua
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CC
Cortney Casey
"Cast Iron"
10 – 10
5'7"67" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 28
LJ
Liana Jojua
"She Wolf"
8 – 5
Submission Hunter2-fight slide31 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'4"
CFR 28

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Casey

This is a genuine toss-up — Casey at 50% vs Jojua at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Jojua has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Casey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Casey
Jojua
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
67"+
Reach
62"
39
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Casey
Jojua
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.5
27.7
40.3
Performance Avg
42.4
41
Quality of Victory
54
73
Momentum Score
43
Casey
Jojua
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.5
39%
Strike Accuracy
34%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
14
5
Body
3
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
35Distance16
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Casey
Jojua
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Casey
Jojua
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Casey
Jojua
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Casey
Jojua
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Casey
Jojua
Striking2.5 / 0.5Volume4.8 / 0.5Grappling3.9 / 8.0Wrestling2.7 / 5.6Submission3.3 / 10.0Pressure4.7 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Casey
Strike Zones
Jojua
Casey
Attacking
28HEAD5BODY4LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Jojua
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD5BODY4LEGS37 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Casey targets the head (76% of attacks) — Jojua absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Jojua targets the head (82% of attacks) — Casey absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Casey
RND
Jojua
0/0R00/0

Casey · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.7L5.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L4.6W5.5L5.0W5.2L6.1L4.5W5.5L2015-072016-112018-082021-032022-07
WinLossTrend

Jojua · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.0L5.0W4.8L5.5L2019-092020-072020-102021-11
WinLossTrend

Casey · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Antonina ShevchenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Liana JojuaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · Sub · R1
Mara Romero BorellaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05

Jojua · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · R1
Miranda MaverickRating 4.8
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Sub · R1
Diana BelbitaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · 2020-07
L · KO · R3
Sarah MorasRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09

News & Media

Cortney Casey · Liana Jojua
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