METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jul 2008
Lightweight
VS
58%
Miller
42%
Gurgel
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:48
★ Official Result
Cole MillerwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:48
def. Jorge Gurgel · UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Miller wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 58% vs Gurgel at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerGurgel
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
Gurgel
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
69"
42+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Gurgel
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
12.5
49.0
Performance Avg
32.1
47
Quality of Victory
25
49
Momentum Score
45
Miller
Gurgel
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
1.3
2.6
Style: Volume
8.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
11
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance6
2Clinch5
0Ground1
Miller
Gurgel
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
4.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
7.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
7
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miller
Gurgel
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
82
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Miller
Gurgel
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Miller
Gurgel
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Gurgel
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
7.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
MillerGurgel
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedGurgel
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (71% of attacks) — Gurgel absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Gurgel targets the head (92% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Gurgel
0/0R00/0
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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