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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
Dallas, USA
30 Jul 2022
Welterweight
VS
81%
Cosce
19%
Diamond
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
OC
Orion Cosce
"Galaxy"
82
5'11"71" reachSwitch32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
BD
Blood Diamond
33
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsSwitch76" reach5'11"
CFR 5
★ Official Result
Orion CoscewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Blood Diamond · UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cosce
Actual result
Cosce wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Cosce is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cosce has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Risk flags

Cosce's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CosceDiamond
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Cosce
Diamond
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
+76"
32+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Switch
Cosce
Diamond
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.9
5.0
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
27
Momentum Score
0
Cosce
Diamond
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
8.7
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
2
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance8
0Clinch2
4Ground0
Cosce
Diamond
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cosce
Diamond
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
3/10 fights
Chin rating based on
3/6 fights
Cosce
Diamond
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Cosce
Diamond
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cosce
Diamond
Striking0.7 / 0.0Volume8.7 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Cosce
Strike Zones
Diamond
Cosce
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Diamond
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cosce targets the head (60% of attacks) — Diamond absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Diamond targets the head (40% of attacks) — Cosce absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cosce
RND
Diamond
0/0R00/0

Cosce · Last 3

L · KO · R2
Gilbert Urbina
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Blood Diamond
Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Phil Rowe
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07

Diamond · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Charles Radtke
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Orion Cosce
Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Jeremiah Wells
Submission
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02

News & Media

Orion Cosce · Blood Diamond
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