UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
Dallas, USA
30 Jul 2022
Welterweight
VS
81%
Cosce
19%
Diamond
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
OC
Orion Cosce
"Galaxy"
8 – 2
5'11"71" reachSwitch31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
BD
Blood Diamond
3 – 3
Well-Rounded3-fight slide37 yrsSwitch76" reach5'11"
CFR 5

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cosce

Cosce is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cosce has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Diamond has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cosce's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cosce
Diamond
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
+76"
31+
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Switch
Cosce
Diamond
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.9
5.0
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
27
Momentum Score
0
Cosce
Diamond
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.2
39%
Strike Accuracy
62%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
2
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance8
0Clinch2
4Ground0
Cosce
Diamond
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cosce
Diamond
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/10 fights
Chin rating based on
3/6 fights
Cosce
Diamond
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Cosce
Diamond
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cosce
Diamond
Striking0.7 / 0.0Volume8.7 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Cosce
Strike Zones
Diamond
Cosce
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Diamond
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cosce targets the head (60% of attacks) — Diamond absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Diamond targets the head (40% of attacks) — Cosce absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cosce
RND
Diamond
0/0R00/0

Cosce · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0103.8L4.5W3.3L2021-072022-072023-05
WinLossTrend

Diamond · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0102.9L5.5L6.7L2022-022022-072023-09
WinLossTrend

Cosce · Last 3

L · KO · R2
Gilbert UrbinaRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Blood DiamondRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Phil RoweRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07

Diamond · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Charles RadtkeRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Orion CosceRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Jeremiah WellsRating 2.9
Submission
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02

News & Media

Orion Cosce · Blood Diamond
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