METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
Dallas, USA
30 Jul 2022
Welterweight
VS
81%
Cosce
19%
Diamond
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Orion CoscewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Blood Diamond · UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cosce
→
Actual result
Cosce wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Cosce is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cosce has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Diamond has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cosce's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CosceDiamond
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cosce
Diamond
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
+76"
32+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Switch
Cosce
Diamond
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.9
5.0
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
27
Momentum Score
0
Cosce
Diamond
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.2
39%
Strike Accuracy
62%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
2
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance8
0Clinch2
4Ground0
Cosce
Diamond
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cosce
Diamond
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/10 fights
Chin rating based on
3/6 fights
Cosce
Diamond
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Cosce
Diamond
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cosce
Diamond
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
CosceDiamond
Strike Zones
Cosce
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedDiamond
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cosce targets the head (60% of attacks) — Diamond absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Diamond targets the head (40% of attacks) — Cosce absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cosce
RND
Diamond
0/0R00/0
Cosce · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Diamond · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Cosce · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Gilbert UrbinaRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Blood DiamondRating 4.5Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Phil RoweRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
Diamond · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Charles RadtkeRating 6.7Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Orion CosceRating 5.5Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Jeremiah WellsRating 2.9Submission
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02