UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Boise, USA
14 Jul 2018
Featherweight
VS
41%
Elkins
59%
Volkanovski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Darren
Darren Elkins
"The Damage"
29 – 12
5'10"71" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Alexander
Alexander Volkanovski
"The Great"
28 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak37 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'6"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Volkanovski

This is a genuine toss-up — Elkins at 41% vs Volkanovski at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Volkanovski has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Elkins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Volkanovski has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Elkins
Volkanovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
71"
Reach
71"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Elkins
Volkanovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.7
64.0
46.3
Performance Avg
59.8
35
Quality of Victory
44
66
Momentum Score
100
Elkins
Volkanovski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.9
38%
Strike Accuracy
61%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
36
4
Body
2
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
20Distance35
8Clinch7
0Ground0
Elkins
Volkanovski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elkins
Volkanovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
18/32 fights
Elkins
Volkanovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Elkins
Volkanovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
37%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elkins
Volkanovski
Striking3.4 / 5.0Volume6.3 / 7.0Grappling2.8 / 1.6Wrestling1.9 / 1.1Submission1.6 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Elkins
Strike Zones
Volkanovski
Elkins
Attacking
24HEAD4BODY0LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
36HEAD2BODY4LEGS42 absorbed
Volkanovski
Attacking
36HEAD2BODY4LEGS42 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD4BODY0LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Elkins targets the head (86% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Volkanovski targets the head (86% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elkins
RND
Volkanovski
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Elkins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W2.9L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W6.0L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W5.3W7.0L4.0L5.5L6.2L5.5W5.2W2.0L4.5W6.0L5.5W5.4W1.7L2010-032013-082017-072021-122025-04
WinLossTrend

Volkanovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.6W5.6W5.9W5.9W5.6W7.5L6.8W3.5L4.5L5.8W5.8W2016-112018-122022-042024-022026-01
WinLossTrend

Elkins · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Tristan ConnellyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Volkanovski · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia TopuriaRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · KO · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07

News & Media

Darren Elkins · Alexander Volkanovski
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