METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Boise, USA
14 Jul 2018
Featherweight
VS
41%
Elkins
59%
Volkanovski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 64
★ Official Result
Alexander VolkanovskiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Darren Elkins · UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Volkanovski
→
Actual result
Volkanovski wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Elkins at 41% vs Volkanovski at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Volkanovski has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Elkins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Volkanovski has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ElkinsVolkanovski
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Elkins
Volkanovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
71"
Reach
71"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Elkins
Volkanovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.7
64.0
46.3
Performance Avg
59.8
35
Quality of Victory
44
66
Momentum Score
100
Elkins
Volkanovski
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.9
38%
Strike Accuracy
61%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
36
4
Body
2
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
20Distance35
8Clinch7
0Ground0
Elkins
Volkanovski
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elkins
Volkanovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
18/32 fights
Elkins
Volkanovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Elkins
Volkanovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
37%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elkins
Volkanovski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
ElkinsVolkanovski
Strike Zones
Elkins
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedVolkanovski
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elkins targets the head (86% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Volkanovski targets the head (86% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elkins
RND
Volkanovski
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Elkins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Volkanovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Tristan ConnellyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Volkanovski · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesRating 5.8Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesRating 5.8Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia TopuriaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · KO · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07