UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Houston, USA
12 Feb 2022
Heavyweight
VS
43%
Knight
57%
Grishin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Grishin
This is a genuine toss-up — Knight at 43% vs Grishin at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Grishin throws more volume but Knight connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Knight
Grishin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+78"
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Knight
Grishin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.5
34.9
39.1
Performance Avg
40.0
37
Quality of Victory
40
10
Momentum Score
48
Knight
Grishin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
8
1
Body
5
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
3Distance13
5Clinch2
0Ground2
Knight
Grishin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Knight
Grishin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
5/42 fights
Knight
Grishin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
48
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Knight
Grishin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Knight
Grishin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
KnightGrishin
Strike Zones
Knight
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedGrishin
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Knight targets the head (75% of attacks) — Grishin absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Grishin targets the head (47% of attacks) — Knight absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Knight
RND
Grishin
0/0R00/0
Knight · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Grishin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Knight · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcin PrachnioRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · KO · R3
Devin ClarkRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Maxim GrishinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · KO · R1
Fabio CherantRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
Grishin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Philipe LinsRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
William KnightRating 4.5Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 6.9Decision
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W · KO · R2
Gadzhimurad AntigulovRating 5.2KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
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