UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2
Natal, Brazil
23 Mar 2014
Lightweight
VS
66%
Santos
34%
Parke
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Santos
Santos holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Parke has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos
Parke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
70"
46
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Santos
Parke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
18.7
57.5
Performance Avg
52.6
49
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
55
Santos
Parke
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.0
49%
Strike Accuracy
32%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
1
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance3
1Clinch8
0Ground0
Santos
Parke
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Parke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/25 fights
Chin rating based on
9/29 fights
Santos
Parke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
55
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Santos
Parke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
20%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Parke
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
SantosParke
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedParke
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (75% of attacks) — Parke absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Parke targets the head (45% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Parke
0/0R00/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Parke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 5.9Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
L · KO · R3
Grant DawsonRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Roman BogatovRating 4.5Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · KO · R1
Stevie RayRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
Parke · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Reza MadadiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · KO · R2
Naoyuki KotaniRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07