UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
Las Vegas, USA
16 Nov 2013
Lightweight
VS
64%
Cerrone
36%
Dunham
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:49
DC
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
36 – 17
6'1"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 28
ED
Evan Dunham
18 – 9
Well-Rounded3-fight slide44 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cerrone

Cerrone holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Dunham has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cerrone has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Striking split: Dunham throws more volume but Cerrone connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Dunham has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cerrone
Dunham
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
70"
43+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cerrone
Dunham
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
16.2
53.0
Performance Avg
40.1
47
Quality of Victory
30
63
Momentum Score
100
Cerrone
Dunham
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
2.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
10 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
8
4
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance7
3Clinch3
0Ground0
Cerrone
Dunham
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerrone
Dunham
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/53 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Cerrone
Dunham
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
100
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Cerrone
Dunham
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
18%
10
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerrone
Dunham
Striking5.6 / 2.0Volume3.7 / 6.9Grappling2.8 / 2.5Wrestling2.0 / 1.7Submission2.6 / 0.9Pressure6.7 / 2.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Cerrone
Strike Zones
Dunham
Cerrone
Attacking
5HEAD4BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Dunham
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD4BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerrone targets the head (50% of attacks) — Dunham absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Dunham targets the head (80% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerrone
RND
Dunham
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cerrone · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W6.4W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.7L5.2W5.0W5.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W1.7L5.0W5.5W5.2W5.9W2.8L5.8L1.5L5.0W6.6L5.0W6.1W4.5W5.3L3.1L3.5L5.5L1.5L3.2L2011-022013-112016-062019-052022-07
WinLossTrend

Dunham · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W4.5W5.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L4.5W4.2W5.5L4.5W5.7L2.8L2.0L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.6W1.5L2.8L1.9L2009-022011-012013-052015-122020-06
WinLossTrend

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Dunham · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Herbert BurnsRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco TrinaldoRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R1
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Upcoming
Beneil Dariush
Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09

News & Media

Donald Cerrone · Evan Dunham
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