UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Mexico City, Mexico
24 Feb 2024
Lightweight
VS
56%
Torres
44%
Duncan
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:46
Manuel
Manuel Torres
"El Loco"
17 – 3
5'10"73" reachSwitch31 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 77
Chris
Chris Duncan
"The Problem"
15 – 3
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Torres

This is a genuine toss-up — Torres at 56% vs Duncan at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Torres has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Torres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Torres
Duncan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
71"
31+
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Torres
Duncan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
76.9
60.4
68.6
Performance Avg
53.2
59
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
89
Torres
Duncan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.4
2.5
60%
Strike Accuracy
50%
9.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
2Clinch0
1Ground0
Torres
Duncan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Torres
Duncan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
76
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
Torres
Duncan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
89
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Torres
Duncan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Torres
Duncan
Striking9.7 / 1.5Volume1.7 / 5.5Grappling1.6 / 5.2Wrestling1.1 / 3.6Submission2.0 / 5.0Pressure9.5 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
9.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
1.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Torres
Strike Zones
Duncan
Torres
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Duncan
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Torres targets the head (67% of attacks) — Duncan absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Duncan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Torres absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Torres
RND
Duncan
0/0R00/0

Torres · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.6W6.3W2.8L6.2W6.5W2022-052023-062024-022024-092025-032025-12
WinLossTrend

Duncan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.4W3.6L5.0W5.2W5.1W6.5W2.9L2023-032024-022025-032025-122026-04
WinLossTrend

Torres · Last 5

Upcoming
Rafael Fiziev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Grant DawsonRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Ignacio BahamondesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Sub · R1
Chris DuncanRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

Duncan · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Renato MoicanoRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 6.5
Submission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Sub · R2
Jordan VucenicRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Bolaji OkiRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

News & Media

Manuel Torres · Chris Duncan
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