METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2022
Women's Bantamweight
VS
34%
Davis
66%
Stoliarenko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alexis DaviswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Julija Stoliarenko · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stoliarenko
→
Actual result
Davis wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Stoliarenko holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Davis has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Stoliarenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Davis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Davis's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stoliarenko has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DavisStoliarenko
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Davis
Stoliarenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
68"+
Reach
66"
41
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Stoliarenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
41.9
39.7
Performance Avg
41.3
28
Quality of Victory
54
45
Momentum Score
20
Davis
Stoliarenko
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
0.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
39%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
6
4
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance6
0Clinch0
21Ground2
Davis
Stoliarenko
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Davis
Stoliarenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
36
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Davis
Stoliarenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Davis
Stoliarenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Davis
Stoliarenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
DavisStoliarenko
Strike Zones
Davis
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedStoliarenko
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (76% of attacks) — Stoliarenko absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Stoliarenko targets the head (75% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Davis
RND
Stoliarenko
0/0R00/0
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Stoliarenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Davis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Sabina MazoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Stoliarenko · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gabriella FernandesRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R3
Luana CarolinaRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Sub · R1
Molly McCannRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Chelsea ChandlerRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 5Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07