The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2018
Featherweight
VS
63%
Caceres
37%
Bravo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Caceres
Caceres holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Bravo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bravo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 67 points.
Striking split: Bravo throws more volume but Caceres connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Caceres's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bravo has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Caceres
Bravo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
71"
37
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Caceres
Bravo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
23.0
42.2
Performance Avg
70.0
34
Quality of Victory
100
76
Momentum Score
29
Caceres
Bravo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
39%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
31
8
Body
4
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
38Distance33
0Clinch2
0Ground2
Caceres
Bravo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Caceres
Bravo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/36 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Caceres
Bravo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
29
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Caceres
Bravo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Caceres
Bravo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
CaceresBravo
Strike Zones
Caceres
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedBravo
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Caceres targets the head (76% of attacks) — Bravo absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Bravo targets the head (84% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Caceres
RND
Bravo
0/0R00/0
Caceres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Bravo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Caceres · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
Bravo · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Steven PetersonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Humberto BandenayRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
W · KO · R2
Claudio PuellesRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11