UFC 74: Respect
Las Vegas, USA
25 Aug 2007
Welterweight
VS
59%
St-Pierre
41%
Koscheck
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: St-Pierre
This is a genuine toss-up — St-Pierre at 59% vs Koscheck at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
St-Pierre has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
St-Pierre's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Koscheck has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
St-Pierre
Koscheck
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
73"
45+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
St-Pierre
Koscheck
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.6
16.9
67.2
Performance Avg
50.5
51
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
59
St-Pierre
Koscheck
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.9
57%
Strike Accuracy
39%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
3
1
Body
0
14
Leg
0
RangeRange
21Distance2
0Clinch0
6Ground1
St-Pierre
Koscheck
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
St-Pierre
Koscheck
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
25/28 fights
St-Pierre
Koscheck
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
13-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
St-Pierre
Koscheck
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
3
12
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
St-Pierre
Koscheck
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
St-PierreKoscheck
Strike Zones
St-Pierre
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedKoscheck
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯St-Pierre targets the legs (52% of attacks) — Koscheck absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Koscheck targets the head (100% of attacks) — St-Pierre absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
St-Pierre
RND
Koscheck
0/0R00/0
St-Pierre · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Koscheck · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
St-Pierre · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.2Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Johny HendricksRating 4.5Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Dec · R5
Nick DiazRating 4.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 4.5Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R5
Jake ShieldsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
Koscheck · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 2.8Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Robbie LawlerRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05