UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jul 2008
Middleweight
VS
47%
Cote
53%
Almeida
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
PC
Patrick Cote
"The Predator"
23 – 11
5'11"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
RA
Ricardo Almeida
"Big Dog"
13 – 5
Well-Rounded49 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Almeida

This is a genuine toss-up — Cote at 47% vs Almeida at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cote has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cote's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Almeida has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cote
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
46+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cote
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
18.0
41.8
Performance Avg
45.1
38
Quality of Victory
39
79
Momentum Score
72
Cote
Almeida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.8
49%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
0
Body
1
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Cote
Almeida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cote
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/34 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Cote
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
72
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Cote
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cote
Almeida
Striking5.0 / 1.1Volume5.0 / 5.1Grappling1.2 / 5.2Wrestling0.8 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure4.2 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Cote
Strike Zones
Almeida
Cote
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY6LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Almeida
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY6LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cote targets the legs (55% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Almeida targets the head (86% of attacks) — Cote absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cote
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0

Cote · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L4.0L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L2.8L5.5L5.5L4.0W4.5W4.5W6.1L4.5W5.5W5.2W4.0L5.5L2004-102008-012012-112016-012017-04
WinLossTrend

Almeida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.6W1.5L4.5W5.5L2001-052008-022009-082010-122011-03
WinLossTrend

Cote · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Joe RiggsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04

Almeida · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mike PyleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
W · Dec · R3
TJ GrantRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Sub · R1
Matt HughesRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Kendall GroveRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08

News & Media

Patrick Cote · Ricardo Almeida
← Back to fights