UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
Barueri, Brazil
9 Oct 2013
Welterweight
VS
55%
Alcantara
45%
Araujo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Alcantara
This is a genuine toss-up — Alcantara at 55% vs Araujo at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Alcantara throws more volume but Araujo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Alcantara
Araujo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
77"
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alcantara
Araujo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
13.2
41.5
Performance Avg
35.0
31
Quality of Victory
25
53
Momentum Score
50
Alcantara
Araujo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.6
33%
Strike Accuracy
39%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Alcantara
Araujo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alcantara
Araujo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/34 fights
Alcantara
Araujo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
50
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Alcantara
Araujo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alcantara
Araujo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
AlcantaraAraujo
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedAraujo
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the head (50% of attacks) — Araujo absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Araujo targets the head (80% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alcantara
RND
Araujo
0/0R00/0
Alcantara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Araujo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Alcantara · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin CaseyRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Richardson MoreiraRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Igor AraujoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
Araujo · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
George SullivanRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Danny MitchellRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
W · Dec · R3
Ildemar AlcantaraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10