UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
London, United Kingdom
16 Oct 2010
Lightweight
VS
91%
Sass
9%
Holst
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:45
PS
Paul Sass
14 – 2
6'0"73" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 24
MH
Mark Holst
"Boots"
12 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sass

Sass is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sass has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.

Sass has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Sass
Holst
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sass
Holst
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.0
2.4
56.4
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
91
Momentum Score
0
Sass
Holst
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.2
29%
Strike Accuracy
22%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Sass
Holst
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sass
Holst
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
2/18 fights
Sass
Holst
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Sass
Holst
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sass
Holst
Striking1.2 / 0.0Volume1.2 / 0.0Grappling8.0 / 0.0Wrestling5.6 / 0.0Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure8.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Sass
Strike Zones
Holst
Sass
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Holst
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sass targets the head (50% of attacks) — Holst absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Holst targets the head (33% of attacks) — Sass absorbs 33% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sass
RND
Holst
0/0R00/0

Sass · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W5.1W5.0W1.5L5.5L2010-102011-102012-052012-092013-02
WinLossTrend

Holst · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.5L1.5L2010-062010-10
WinLossTrend

Sass · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Matt WimanRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · Sub · R1
Jacob VolkmannRating 5
Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Michael JohnsonRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
W · Sub · R1
Mark HolstRating 5
Submission
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10

Holst · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Paul SassRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
L · Dec · R3
John GundersonRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06

News & Media

Paul Sass · Mark Holst
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