METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 76: Knockout
Anaheim, USA
22 Sept 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
34%
Griffin
66%
Rua
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:45
★ Official Result
Forrest GriffinwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:45
def. Mauricio Rua · UFC 76: Knockout
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rua
→
Actual result
Griffin wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Rua holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Griffin has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Griffin throws more volume but Rua connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Griffin's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rua has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GriffinRua
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Griffin
Rua
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
76"
47
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Rua
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
35.0
52.0
Performance Avg
49.7
42
Quality of Victory
51
82
Momentum Score
46
Griffin
Rua
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
1.1
36%
Strike Accuracy
55%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
3
4
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
18Ground3
Griffin
Rua
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Rua
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/26 fights
Chin rating based on
24/41 fights
Griffin
Rua
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
46
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Griffin
Rua
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
73%
1
KO / TKO Wins
8
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Griffin
Rua
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
GriffinRua
Strike Zones
Griffin
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedRua
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (75% of attacks) — Rua absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Rua targets the head (100% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Griffin
RND
Rua
0/0R00/0
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Rua · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Griffin · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
W · Dec · R3
Rich FranklinRating 4.5Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
Rua · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 6.1Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Upcoming
Paul CraigDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11