UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
San Jose, USA
26 Jul 2014
Welterweight
VS
49%
Lawler
51%
Brown
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
RL
Robbie Lawler
"Ruthless"
30 – 16
5'11"74" reachSouthpaw44 yrsStriker
CFR 41
MB
Matt Brown
"The Immortal"
26 – 19
Knockout Artist45 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brown

This is a genuine toss-up — Lawler at 49% vs Brown at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lawler's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brown has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lawler
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
44+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lawler
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
42.5
51.0
Performance Avg
54.0
45
Quality of Victory
52
90
Momentum Score
78
Lawler
Brown
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
60%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.8
8 KOs
KO Finishes
13 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
18
4
Body
12
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
24Distance29
0Clinch1
1Ground0
Lawler
Brown
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lawler
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/46 fights
Chin rating based on
30/45 fights
Lawler
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
78
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Lawler
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
88%
8
KO / TKO Wins
13
0
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lawler
Brown
Striking6.5 / 8.8Volume4.9 / 2.1Grappling1.1 / 1.2Wrestling0.8 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 1.2Pressure5.5 / 7.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.2
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
Lawler
Strike Zones
Brown
Lawler
Attacking
21HEAD4BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD12BODY0LEGS30 absorbed
Brown
Attacking
18HEAD12BODY0LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD4BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lawler targets the head (84% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (60% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lawler
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0

Lawler · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.8L4.5W2.8L1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.9W4.5W5.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.7L1.5L6.8L6.1L5.2W3.2L5.7W2002-052013-022015-072020-082023-07
WinLossTrend

Brown · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W5.5L5.2W5.0W5.5W2.8L2.8L2.8L4.5W2.8L5.2W5.1W5.2W5.2W5.2W5.0W5.2W5.8L5.5L5.1W4.0L1.5L4.0L5.0W5.2W3.3L5.5L5.2W5.9L5.2W2008-062011-062014-052019-122023-05
WinLossTrend

Lawler · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08

Brown · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Court McGeeRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R2
Dhiego LimaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Carlos ConditRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · KO · R2
Miguel BaezaRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05

News & Media

Robbie Lawler · Matt Brown
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