METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Winnipeg, Canada
18 Apr 2026
Featherweight
VS
34%
Buzukja
66%
Barbosa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:20
★ Official Result
Marcio BarbosawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:20
def. Dennis Buzukja · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barbosa
→
Actual result
Barbosa wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Barbosa holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Buzukja has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barbosa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Buzukja's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BuzukjaBarbosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Buzukja
Barbosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
70"
Reach
70"
28
Age
28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Buzukja
Barbosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
82.8
36.7
Performance Avg
76.0
50
Quality of Victory
60
39
Momentum Score
100
Buzukja
Barbosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
10.0
0.3
Style: Volume
2.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
4
2
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Buzukja
Barbosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Buzukja
Barbosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/20 fights
Buzukja
Barbosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Buzukja
Barbosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Buzukja
Barbosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
10.0
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
BuzukjaBarbosa
Strike Zones
Buzukja
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedBarbosa
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Buzukja targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Barbosa absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Barbosa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Buzukja absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Buzukja
RND
Barbosa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Buzukja · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Bogdan GradSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Marcio BarbosaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Francis MarshallDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · KO · R3
Connor MatthewsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Jamall EmmersKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Barbosa · Last 2
W · KO · R1
Ryan KuseKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Dennis BuzukjaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04