METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Winnipeg, Canada
18 Apr 2026
Featherweight
VS
35%
Buzukja
65%
Barbosa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:20
★ Official Result
Marcio BarbosawinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:20
def. Dennis Buzukja · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barbosa
→
Actual result
Barbosa wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Barbosa holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Buzukja has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barbosa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Barbosa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Buzukja's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BuzukjaBarbosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Buzukja
Barbosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
70"
Reach
70"
28
Age
28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Buzukja
Barbosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
82.8
38.0
Performance Avg
76.0
50
Quality of Victory
60
39
Momentum Score
100
Buzukja
Barbosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
4
2
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Buzukja
Barbosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Buzukja
Barbosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/18 fights
Chin rating based on
1/20 fights
Buzukja
Barbosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
Buzukja
Barbosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Buzukja
Barbosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
10.0
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
BuzukjaBarbosa
Strike Zones
Buzukja
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedBarbosa
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Buzukja targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Barbosa absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Barbosa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Buzukja absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Buzukja
RND
Barbosa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Buzukja · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Buzukja · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marcio BarbosaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Francis MarshallRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · KO · R3
Connor MatthewsRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Jamall EmmersRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
Barbosa · Last 1
W · KO · R1
Dennis BuzukjaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04