Adriano Martins vs Islam Makhachev — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson

Houston, USA

3 Oct 2015

Lightweight

19%

Martins

81%

Makhachev

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 1:46

Adriano Martins

28 – 9

5'10"72" reachSouthpaw43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 17

Islam Makhachev

28 – 1

Well-Rounded17-fight win streak34 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"

CFR 74

★ Official Result

Adriano MartinswinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:46

def. Islam Makhachev · UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Makhachev

→

Actual result

Martins wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Makhachev is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 57 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Martins's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

MartinsMakhachev

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Martins

Makhachev

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"

Height

5'10"

72"+

Reach

70"

Age

+34

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

Martins

Makhachev

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

17.1

73.9

52.0

Performance Avg

69.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Martins

Makhachev

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

6.1

/ 10

3.6

/ 10

7.0

Style: Pressure

7.1

3.1

Style: Volume

5.0

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance4

0Clinch0

1Ground0

Martins

Makhachev

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.6

/ 10

4.5

/ 10

1.8

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.1

2.5

Submission Style (/10)

4.4

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Martins

Makhachev

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

17 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

7/37 fights

Chin rating based on

19/29 fights

Martins

Makhachev

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

17-fight 🔥 win streak

L · KO · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

Last 5

W · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R1

W · Sub · R5

W · KO · R1

Martins

Makhachev

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

75%

61%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Martins

Makhachev

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

6.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.6

2.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.5

1.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.1

2.5

Submission

Submission attack frequency

4.4

7.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.1

3.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.0

Martins

Strike Zones

Makhachev

Martins

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Makhachev

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Martins targets the head (67% of attacks) — Makhachev absorbs 67% of strikes there

🎯Makhachev targets the head (50% of attacks) — Martins absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Martins

RND

Makhachev

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Martins · Last 5

L · KO · R3

Kajan Johnson

KO/TKO

UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09

L · Dec · R3

Leonardo Santos

Decision

UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10

W · KO · R1

Islam Makhachev

KO/TKO

UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10

W · Dec · R3

Rustam Khabilov

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02

W · KO · R1

Juan Manuel Puig

KO/TKO

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07

Makhachev · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Ian Machado Garry

Decision

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08

W · Dec · R5

Jack Della Maddalena

Decision

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

W · Sub · R1

Renato Moicano

Submission

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

W · Sub · R5

Dustin Poirier

Submission

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

W · KO · R1

Alexander Volkanovski

KO/TKO

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

News & Media

Adriano Martins · Islam Makhachev

← Back to fights