UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Manchester, United Kingdom
27 Jul 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
60%
McCann
40%
Brasil
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McCann
McCann holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Brasil has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McCann has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: McCann throws more volume but Brasil connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
McCann's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McCann
Brasil
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
62"
Reach
+65"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McCann
Brasil
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.1
32.6
42.6
Performance Avg
30.0
38
Quality of Victory
25
71
Momentum Score
40
McCann
Brasil
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
0.8
48%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
5
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance6
1Clinch0
1Ground2
McCann
Brasil
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McCann
Brasil
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
70
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/22 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
McCann
Brasil
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
McCann
Brasil
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McCann
Brasil
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
McCannBrasil
Strike Zones
McCann
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedBrasil
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McCann targets the head (55% of attacks) — Brasil absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Brasil targets the head (75% of attacks) — McCann absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McCann
RND
Brasil
0/0R00/0
McCann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Brasil · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
McCann · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alexia ThainaraRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 5.5Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Sub · R1
Diana BelbitaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Sub · R1
Julija StoliarenkoRating 1.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R1
Erin BlanchfieldRating 3Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Brasil · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexia ThainaraRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Shi MingRating 6.9Decision
UFC - Road to UFC 4.6 · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Wang CongRating 6.8Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Molly McCannRating 5.2Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07