★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2
Montreal, Canada
19 Apr 2008
Welterweight
VS
57%
St-Pierre
43%
Serra
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: St-Pierre
This is a genuine toss-up — St-Pierre at 57% vs Serra at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
St-Pierre has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
St-Pierre's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Serra has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
St-Pierre
Serra
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'6"
76"+
Reach
68"
45+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
St-Pierre
Serra
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.6
18.2
67.2
Performance Avg
53.3
51
Quality of Victory
56
100
Momentum Score
52
St-Pierre
Serra
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
57%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
1
14
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance2
1Clinch1
17Ground0
St-Pierre
Serra
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
St-Pierre
Serra
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
14/18 fights
St-Pierre
Serra
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
52
13-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
St-Pierre
Serra
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
43%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
St-Pierre
Serra
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
St-PierreSerra
Strike Zones
St-Pierre
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedSerra
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯St-Pierre targets the body (56% of attacks) — Serra absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Serra targets the head (33% of attacks) — St-Pierre absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
St-Pierre
RND
Serra
0/0R00/0
St-Pierre · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Serra · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
St-Pierre · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.2Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Johny HendricksRating 4.5Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Dec · R5
Nick DiazRating 4.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 4.5Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R5
Jake ShieldsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
Serra · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chris LytleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · KO · R1
Frank TriggRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Matt HughesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · KO · R2
Georges St-PierreRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · KO · R1
Georges St-PierreRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04