UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
Louisville, USA
3 Mar 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Cantwell
51%
Diabate
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Diabate
This is a genuine toss-up — Cantwell at 49% vs Diabate at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Cantwell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Diabate has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Diabate has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cantwell
Diabate
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'6"
75"
Reach
+81"
39+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cantwell
Diabate
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.7
17.7
39.1
Performance Avg
44.6
54
Quality of Victory
41
33
Momentum Score
68
Cantwell
Diabate
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.2
32%
Strike Accuracy
75%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
37
10
Body
9
4
Leg
12
RangeRange
16Distance55
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Cantwell
Diabate
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cantwell
Diabate
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/13 fights
Chin rating based on
8/29 fights
Cantwell
Diabate
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
68
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Cantwell
Diabate
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cantwell
Diabate
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
CantwellDiabate
Strike Zones
Cantwell
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
58 absorbedDiabate
Attacking
58 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cantwell targets the body (63% of attacks) — Diabate absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Diabate targets the head (64% of attacks) — Cantwell absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cantwell
RND
Diabate
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cantwell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Diabate · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Cantwell · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Diabate · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ilir LatifiRating 1.5Submission
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Chad GriggsRating 5Submission
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