METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Lincoln, USA
25 Aug 2018
Welterweight
VS
74%
Gall
26%
Sullivan
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:09
★ Official Result
Mickey GallwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:09
def. George Sullivan · UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gall
→
Actual result
Gall wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Gall is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gall has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Gall's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sullivan has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GallSullivan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gall
Sullivan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
73"
34+
Age
45
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Gall
Sullivan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.1
16.1
47.5
Performance Avg
38.1
48
Quality of Victory
35
56
Momentum Score
79
Gall
Sullivan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
3.6
2.3
Style: Volume
6.2
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Gall
Sullivan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.1
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
5.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
8.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gall
Sullivan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/14 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Gall
Sullivan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
79
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Gall
Sullivan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gall
Sullivan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
7.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
5.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gall
RND
Sullivan
0/0R00/0
Gall · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ramiz BrahimajKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Bassil HafezDecision
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L · KO · R1
Mike MalottKO/TKO
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
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W · Sub · R1
Jordan WilliamsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
Sullivan · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Mickey GallSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
L · Sub · R2
Niko PriceSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · KO · R1
Alexander YakovlevKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Dominic WatersDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · Sub · R3
Tim MeansSubmission
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