UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker
Las Vegas, USA
27 Jun 2020
Welterweight
VS
65%
Sato
35%
Witt
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sato
Sato holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Witt has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sato has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Sato has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sato's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Witt has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sato
Witt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
70"
35+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sato
Witt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.3
20.2
45.9
Performance Avg
35.7
58
Quality of Victory
37
46
Momentum Score
45
Sato
Witt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
43%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch0
15Ground0
Sato
Witt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sato
Witt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
12
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/23 fights
Chin rating based on
6/28 fights
Sato
Witt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Sato
Witt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sato
Witt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
SatoWitt
Strike Zones
Sato
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedWitt
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sato targets the head (100% of attacks) — Witt absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Witt targets the body (50% of attacks) — Sato absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sato
RND
Witt
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sato · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Witt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Sato · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Bryan BattleRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · Sub · R2
Miguel BaezaRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
W · KO · R1
Jason WittRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
Witt · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Josh QuinlanRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Phil RoweRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Matthew SemelsbergerRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Sub · R2
Cole WilliamsRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10