UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Las Vegas, USA
25 Apr 2026
Middleweight
VS
64%
Vieira
36%
McConico
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vieira
Vieira holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but McConico has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Vieira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Vieira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Vieira's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McConico has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Vieira
McConico
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+77"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Vieira
McConico
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
34.0
49.5
Performance Avg
35.0
46
Quality of Victory
25
91
Momentum Score
39
Vieira
McConico
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
52%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
21
2
Body
2
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance22
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Vieira
McConico
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
7.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
8.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vieira
McConico
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
56
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Vieira
McConico
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Vieira
McConico
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vieira
McConico
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
7.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
VieiraMcConico
Strike Zones
Vieira
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedMcConico
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vieira targets the legs (50% of attacks) — McConico absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯McConico targets the head (91% of attacks) — Vieira absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vieira
RND
McConico
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Vieira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
McConico · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Vieira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eric McConicoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Bo NickalRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Tresean GoreRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Armen PetrosyanRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
McConico · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Rodolfo VieiraRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Baisangur SusurkaevRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cody BrundageRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Nursulton RuziboevRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02