UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green
Las Vegas, USA
7 Oct 2023
Lightweight
VS
61%
Dober
39%
Glenn
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:36
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dober
Dober holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Glenn has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dober has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Glenn has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Dober's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Glenn has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dober
Glenn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
70"
37
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Dober
Glenn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
37.7
53.2
Performance Avg
36.2
50
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
65
Dober
Glenn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.9
43%
Strike Accuracy
49%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
11 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
2
7
Body
3
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance5
2Clinch0
8Ground0
Dober
Glenn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dober
Glenn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
48
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
11/31 fights
Dober
Glenn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
Dober
Glenn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
25%
11
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dober
Glenn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
DoberGlenn
Strike Zones
Dober
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedGlenn
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dober targets the head (63% of attacks) — Glenn absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Glenn targets the body (60% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dober
RND
Glenn
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dober · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Glenn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
Glenn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Song KenanRating 5.9Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
L · KO · R1
Christos GiagosRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
Upcoming
Grant DawsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Joaquim SilvaRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06