METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Las Vegas, USA
27 Apr 2024
Lightweight
VS
82%
Hubbard
18%
Figlak
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Austin HubbardwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Michal Figlak · UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hubbard
→
Actual result
Hubbard wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hubbard is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hubbard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Hubbard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hubbard's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HubbardFiglak
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hubbard
Figlak
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
34
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hubbard
Figlak
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
6.9
28.7
Performance Avg
0.0
26
Quality of Victory
0
41
Momentum Score
0
Hubbard
Figlak
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.5
46%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
27
8
Body
6
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
30Distance32
2Clinch4
0Ground0
Hubbard
Figlak
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hubbard
Figlak
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Hubbard
Figlak
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hubbard
Figlak
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hubbard
Figlak
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HubbardFiglak
Strike Zones
Hubbard
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedFiglak
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hubbard targets the head (66% of attacks) — Figlak absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Figlak targets the head (75% of attacks) — Hubbard absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hubbard
RND
Figlak
0/0R00/0
Hubbard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Figlak · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.1WinLossTrend
Hubbard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
RongzhuRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
MarQuel MederosRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 6.4Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Michal FiglakRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Kurt HolobaughRating 2.8Submission
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
Figlak · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09