UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Las Vegas, USA
27 Apr 2024
Lightweight
VS
82%
Hubbard
18%
Figlak
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Austin
Austin Hubbard
"Thud"
17 – 10
5'10"71" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
Michal
Michal Figlak
"Mad Dog"
8 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide29 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"
CFR 7

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hubbard

Hubbard is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hubbard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.

Hubbard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hubbard's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hubbard
Figlak
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
34
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hubbard
Figlak
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
6.9
28.7
Performance Avg
0.0
26
Quality of Victory
0
41
Momentum Score
0
Hubbard
Figlak
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.5
46%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
27
8
Body
6
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
30Distance32
2Clinch4
0Ground0
Hubbard
Figlak
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hubbard
Figlak
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Hubbard
Figlak
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hubbard
Figlak
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hubbard
Figlak
Striking0.7 / 0.0Volume6.7 / 0.0Grappling1.8 / 0.0Wrestling1.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Hubbard
Strike Zones
Figlak
Hubbard
Attacking
21HEAD8BODY3LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD6BODY3LEGS36 absorbed
Figlak
Attacking
27HEAD6BODY3LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD8BODY3LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hubbard targets the head (66% of attacks) — Figlak absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Figlak targets the head (75% of attacks) — Hubbard absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hubbard
RND
Figlak
0/0R00/0

Hubbard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.5W5.7L4.2W2.2L4.5W5.7L2.8L4.5W6.4L6.8L6.0L2019-052020-062021-082024-102025-08
WinLossTrend

Figlak · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.1
0106.7L5.5L2022-092024-04
WinLossTrend

Hubbard · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
RongzhuRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
MarQuel MederosRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Michal FiglakRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Kurt HolobaughRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Figlak · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09

News & Media

Austin Hubbard · Michal Figlak
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