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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Las Vegas, USA
27 Apr 2024
Lightweight
VS
82%
Hubbard
18%
Figlak
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Austin
Austin Hubbard
"Thud"
1710
5'10"71" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
Michal
Michal Figlak
"Mad Dog"
82
Well-Rounded2-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"
CFR 7
★ Official Result
Austin HubbardwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Michal Figlak · UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hubbard
Actual result
Hubbard wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Hubbard is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hubbard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.

Risk flags

Hubbard's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HubbardFiglak
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Hubbard
Figlak
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hubbard
Figlak
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
6.9
28.7
Performance Avg
0.0
26
Quality of Victory
0
41
Momentum Score
0
Hubbard
Figlak
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.7
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
27
8
Body
6
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
30Distance32
2Clinch4
0Ground0
Hubbard
Figlak
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hubbard
Figlak
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Hubbard
Figlak
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hubbard
Figlak
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hubbard
Figlak
Striking0.7 / 0.0Volume6.7 / 0.0Grappling1.8 / 0.0Wrestling1.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Hubbard
Strike Zones
Figlak
Hubbard
Attacking
21HEAD8BODY3LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD6BODY3LEGS36 absorbed
Figlak
Attacking
27HEAD6BODY3LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD8BODY3LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hubbard targets the head (66% of attacks) — Figlak absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Figlak targets the head (75% of attacks) — Hubbard absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hubbard
RND
Figlak
0/0R00/0

Hubbard · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rongzhu
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
MarQuel Mederos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alexander Hernandez
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Michal Figlak
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Kurt Holobaugh
Submission
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Figlak · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Austin Hubbard
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Fares Ziam
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09

News & Media

Austin Hubbard · Michal Figlak
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