UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield
Las Vegas, USA
18 Feb 2023
Lightweight
VS
45%
Miller
55%
Hernandez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jim
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39 – 19
5'8"71" reachSouthpaw42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Alexander
Alexander Hernandez
"El Gran Chango"
18 – 9
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hernandez

This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 45% vs Hernandez at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hernandez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hernandez has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Miller
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
42
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
52.9
51.5
Performance Avg
47.4
45
Quality of Victory
42
28
Momentum Score
90
Miller
Hernandez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
27
5
Body
15
11
Leg
0
RangeRange
24Distance33
3Clinch2
0Ground7
Miller
Hernandez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
14
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
18/27 fights
Miller
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
90
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Miller
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
14
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miller
Hernandez
Striking3.4 / 6.1Volume3.5 / 5.1Grappling4.7 / 1.2Wrestling3.3 / 0.8Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Miller
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Miller
Attacking
11HEAD5BODY11LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD15BODY0LEGS42 absorbed
Hernandez
Attacking
27HEAD15BODY0LEGS42 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD5BODY11LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (41% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (64% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miller
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.4W5.5W5.5L5.0W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.1L6.5L4.5W3.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L5.5L2.4L5.0W2.9L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.7L6.2L5.2W5.9W5.2W6.4L5.0W5.7W6.2L5.3W6.3L5.4W2008-102012-052017-022021-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Hernandez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0106.0W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.0L5.0W5.7L5.0W3.5L3.9L4.9W5.7L5.8L4.5W4.5W5.8W6.3W6.3L2018-032020-102023-022025-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Miller · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01

Hernandez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Chase HooperRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10

News & Media

Jim Miller · Alexander Hernandez
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