METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield
Las Vegas, USA
18 Feb 2023
Lightweight
VS
45%
Miller
55%
Hernandez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alexander HernandezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jim Miller · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hernandez
→
Actual result
Hernandez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 45% vs Hernandez at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hernandez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hernandez has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerHernandez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
42
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
52.9
51.5
Performance Avg
47.4
45
Quality of Victory
42
28
Momentum Score
90
Miller
Hernandez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
27
5
Body
15
11
Leg
0
RangeRange
24Distance33
3Clinch2
0Ground7
Miller
Hernandez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
14
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
18/27 fights
Miller
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
90
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Miller
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
14
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Hernandez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
MillerHernandez
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedHernandez
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (41% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (64% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Hernandez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Hernandez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Chase HooperRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10