METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Las Vegas, USA
2 Oct 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
32%
Shevchenko
68%
O'Neill
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:47
★ Official Result
Casey O'NeillwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:47
def. Antonina Shevchenko · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
O'Neill
→
Actual result
O'Neill wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
O'Neill holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Shevchenko has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
O'Neill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Shevchenko's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ShevchenkoO'Neill
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Shevchenko
O'Neill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+69"
41
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Shevchenko
O'Neill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.8
58.5
43.2
Performance Avg
56.5
39
Quality of Victory
44
73
Momentum Score
58
Shevchenko
O'Neill
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
3.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
41
2
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance8
2Clinch0
0Ground35
Shevchenko
O'Neill
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Shevchenko
O'Neill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/14 fights
Chin rating based on
8/13 fights
Shevchenko
O'Neill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
58
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Shevchenko
O'Neill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shevchenko
O'Neill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
ShevchenkoO'Neill
Strike Zones
Shevchenko
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedO'Neill
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (82% of attacks) — O'Neill absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯O'Neill targets the head (95% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shevchenko
RND
O'Neill
0/0R00/0
Shevchenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
O'Neill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Shevchenko · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Casey O'NeillRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
W · KO · R2
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
O'Neill · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Gabriella FernandesRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Luana SantosRating 6.2Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R2
Ariane da SilvaRating 2.8Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Roxanne ModafferiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02